MO Research
Altria Group, Inc.
5.87%
Forward yield
$4.240 / yr per share
Yield percentile (5y)
P 6
6.2% (P10)7.3% (med)8.3% (P90)
Quality score
78/100
Good · Moderate payout risk
Annual / share
$4.240
Quarterly · next ex-date 09-14 (100d)
vs 5y P90 reference
+31%
$72.19 vs $50.09 (5y P90 price)
Refreshed 2026-06-06Data coverage High — 65y history
01Fundamentals
Altria Group (MO) offers a compelling 5.949% dividend yield with an impressive 65-year history of payments. However, income investors must acknowledge the high 87.68% payout ratio and moderate 1.29x free cash flow coverage, which introduce notable risk to dividend sustainability.
Bull caseThe stock provides a substantial 5.949% dividend yield, backed by 65 consecutive years of payments and a 10.87% 5-year dividend growth rate.
Bear caseThe dividend's safety is compromised by an 87.68% payout ratio and moderate 1.29x free cash flow coverage, highlighted by the HIGH_PAYOUT_RISK flag.
02Risk & quality
| GAAP payout ratio | Moderate · 87.7% |
| Overall quality score | 78 / 100 · Good |
Score breakdown — five dimensions, each /2020 + 10 + 18 + 7 + 10 = 78
20.0/20
Consistency
10.0/20
Payout safety
17.6/20
Moat
↓
7.3/20
Growth rate
10.0/20
Balance sheet
- Consistency 20.0/20 — MO has paid an uninterrupted dividend for 65 straight years, putting it in the Dividend King tier — the small US-listed club of 50+ year streaks. This dimension caps at 10 years, so anything past that sits well above the ceiling.
- Payout safety 10.0/20 — MO's GAAP earnings payout ratio is 87.7%, in the strained range. Most of current profit is going to the dividend, leaving little buffer if earnings dip. Above 100% would mean the company is paying from cash or debt rather than current profit.
- Moat 17.6/20 — Scores how protected MO's earnings stream is from competition. Operating in Consumer Defensive, MO benefits from the kind of brand pricing power, regulatory position, or scale that lets margins hold up through economic cycles. Cyclical or commodity-driven sectors typically score in the single digits here.
- Growth rate 7.3/20 — MO's dividend grew about 10.9% per year over 5 years — solid by absolute standards, but a notch below the 15-20% pace seen at growth-oriented dividend payers (think SCHD constituents). Familiar pattern for established staples already paying out most of what they earn — the runway for further hikes naturally narrows once payout ratios climb.
- Balance sheet 10.0/20 — A composite of return-on-equity and inverse leverage. MO's ROE leaves this dimension in the middle of the pack — neither flagged for weakness nor in the financial-flexibility tier of top-scoring names.
03Price reference
$10,000at current price →$587/ yr in dividends
Math: 5.87% forward yield. Historical 5y DGR is 10.9%/yr — past growth does not guarantee future results.
Below are statistical price references from the last 5 years of trading, anchored to historical drawdown events. They describe where the price has been — not where it should be.
$44.31
$50.09
$72.19
5y P10
5y P90
Now
| Current price | $72.19 |
| 5y P90 reference (high-yield 10% tail) | $50.09 — 30.6% lower |
| 5y P10 reference (low-yield 10% tail) | $44.31 — 38.6% lower |
| 5y max observed yield (at P10 price) | 9.6% |
| Annual dividend (frozen forward) | $4.240 / share · 5.87% yield |
Historical anchor · 2020-03 COVID Sell-off
Low $19.13 · drawdown 1690 days · yield reached 13.7%
COVID pandemic triggered global liquidity panic, market plunged 34% in 3 weeks
Important — this is reference data, not investment advice.
Quality scores, percentiles, and price references are statistical summaries of historical data computed by our research methodology from public market data, refreshed daily. They do not constitute a buy / sell / hold recommendation, do not account for your personal financial situation, tax bracket, or goals, and past performance does not predict future results. Consult a registered investment advisor before making investment decisions. divcalc.io is not a registered investment advisor.
Quality scores, percentiles, and price references are statistical summaries of historical data computed by our research methodology from public market data, refreshed daily. They do not constitute a buy / sell / hold recommendation, do not account for your personal financial situation, tax bracket, or goals, and past performance does not predict future results. Consult a registered investment advisor before making investment decisions. divcalc.io is not a registered investment advisor.