NEE Research
NextEra Energy, Inc.
2.90%
Forward yield
$2.490 / yr per share
Yield percentile (5y)
P 90
1.9% (P10)2.4% (med)2.9% (P90)
Quality score
72/100
Good · High payout risk
Annual / share
$2.490
Quarterly · next ex-date 09-04 (90d)
vs 5y P90 reference
+9%
$85.84 vs $77.81 (5y P90 price)
Refreshed 2026-06-06Data coverage High — 44y history
01Fundamentals
NEE is not a suitable income investment due to an unsustainable effective free cash flow payout ratio of 150.9% despite 44 years of dividend continuity.
Bull caseThe company demonstrates robust dividend commitment with 44 consecutive years of payments and strong 5Y dividend growth of 9.84%, supported by a high 19.6/20 moat score.
Bear caseThe effective payout ratio of 150.9% on free cash flow is critical and unsustainable, compounded by a high Debt/Equity of 156.686% which raises balance sheet concerns.
02Risk & quality
| Free-cash-flow payout ratio | High · 150.9% |
| Overall quality score | 72 / 100 · Good |
Score breakdown — five dimensions, each /2020 + 10 + 20 + 7 + 3 = 72
20.0/20
Consistency
10.0/20
Payout safety
19.6/20
Moat
6.6/20
Growth rate
↓
3.4/20
Balance sheet
- Consistency 20.0/20 — NEE has raised or maintained its dividend for 44 consecutive years, qualifying as a Dividend Aristocrat (25+ year streak). The dimension caps at 10 years, so 44 years comfortably clears the ceiling for full credit.
- Payout safety 10.0/20 — NEE's free cash flow payout ratio is 150.9%, above current profit. That means the dividend is being funded partly from cash on hand or new borrowing rather than current earnings — a sustainability flag unless it's a one-off earnings dip the company is bridging.
- Moat 19.6/20 — Scores how protected NEE's earnings stream is from competition. Operating in Utilities, NEE benefits from the kind of brand pricing power, regulatory position, or scale that lets margins hold up through economic cycles. Cyclical or commodity-driven sectors typically score in the single digits here.
- Growth rate 6.6/20 — NEE's dividend grew about 9.8% per year over 5 years — solid by absolute standards, but a notch below the 15-20% pace seen at growth-oriented dividend payers (think SCHD constituents). Familiar pattern for established staples already paying out most of what they earn — the runway for further hikes naturally narrows once payout ratios climb.
- Balance sheet 3.4/20 — A composite of ROE and inverse leverage. A low score here can mean weak return-on-equity, high debt, or both — for NEE, 10.3% ROE and 157% debt-to-equity. Doesn't directly threaten the current dividend if cash flow is healthy, but it does limit how much room the company has for future hikes or to absorb a downturn.
03Price reference
$10,000at current price →$290/ yr in dividends
Math: 2.90% forward yield. Historical 5y DGR is 9.8%/yr — past growth does not guarantee future results.
Below are statistical price references from the last 5 years of trading, anchored to historical drawdown events. They describe where the price has been — not where it should be.
$71.55
$77.81
$85.84
5y P10
5y P90
Now
| Current price | $85.84 |
| 5y P90 reference (high-yield 10% tail) | $77.81 — 9.4% lower |
| 5y P10 reference (low-yield 10% tail) | $71.55 — 16.6% lower |
| 5y max observed yield (at P10 price) | 3.5% |
| Annual dividend (frozen forward) | $2.490 / share · 2.90% yield |
Historical anchor · 2008-10 Global Financial Crisis
Low $5.52 · drawdown 5 days · yield reached 5.8%
Lehman collapse triggered global credit freeze; S&P fell ~50% peak-to-trough.
Important — this is reference data, not investment advice.
Quality scores, percentiles, and price references are statistical summaries of historical data computed by our research methodology from public market data, refreshed daily. They do not constitute a buy / sell / hold recommendation, do not account for your personal financial situation, tax bracket, or goals, and past performance does not predict future results. Consult a registered investment advisor before making investment decisions. divcalc.io is not a registered investment advisor.
Quality scores, percentiles, and price references are statistical summaries of historical data computed by our research methodology from public market data, refreshed daily. They do not constitute a buy / sell / hold recommendation, do not account for your personal financial situation, tax bracket, or goals, and past performance does not predict future results. Consult a registered investment advisor before making investment decisions. divcalc.io is not a registered investment advisor.